Friday, August 24, 2012

New Polls Full of Good News for Obama

Eight new polls of the 2012 presidential race have good news for President Barack Obama. The president holds leads between two and nine points in every poll except one, including two polls in Ohio, and two others in the important battleground states of Wisconsin and Florida.

Ohio

Two polls in Ohio show Obama ahead of rival Republican Mitt Romney. In a poll of 847 likely voters conducted between Aug. 16-21 by the University of Cincinnati, the president led by 3 points, 49 to 46. The result is within the poll's 3.4 percent margin of error. A second poll, conducted by CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac, showed Obama with a six- point lead over Romney, 50 to 44 percent. The poll surveyed 1,253 likely voters from Aug. 15-21, with a 3 percent margin of error.

Florida and Wisconsin

The same CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac poll also surveyed likely voters in the battleground states of Florida and Wisconsin. In both states, the president was ahead of his challenger, but not by much. In Florida, Obama was ahead by three points, 49 to 46 percent, while in Wisconsin, the president's lead was only two points, 49 percent to 47 percent. Both results are within the poll's three-point margin of error. The poll surveyed 1,190 likely voters in Wisconsin, and 1,241 likely voters in Florida. Both states are important to both campaigns, particularly Wisconsin, the home state of Romney's proposed running mate, Rep. Paul Ryan.

Missouri

Challenger Mitt Romney only led President Obama in one new poll, in Missouri. Public Policy Polling (PPP) conducted a poll of 500 likely voters on Aug. 20. Romney led Obama 52 percent to 42 percent, well outside the poll's 4.4 percent margin of error. In a press release, PPP speculated that the selection of Paul Ryan to the Republican ticket may be helping Romney in a state that is trending Republican. Ryan was viewed favorably by 48 percent of those surveyed, compared to 40 percent unfavorable. His favorability numbers are better than Romney, Obama and Vice President Joe Biden's.

Connecticut

A new Rasmussen poll of 500 likely Connecticut voters found Obama with an eight-point lead in the race, 51 to 43 percent. The poll, conducted on Aug. 21, had a 4.5-percent margin of error. Connecticut was traditionally a Republican stronghold in presidential elections, but that has changed in the last two decades. According to election data aggregated by 270ToWin.com, Connecticut has voted for the Democratic candidate for president in every election since 1992.

Pennsylvania and Michigan

President Obama leads Mitt Romney in both of these Rust Belt states. In Pennsylvania, a new conducted by Morning Call/Muhlenburg found Obama ahead of Romney by nine points, 49 percent to 40 percent. This was the first poll of Pennsylvania since the announcement of Ryan as the Republican vice presidential pick, and Obama remains in the lead. The poll of 422 likely voters had a margin of error of 5 percent.

In Michigan, Obama is ahead of Romney 47.5 percent to 42 percent. The poll, conducted by Detroit News, surveyed 600 likely voters from Aug. 18-20, with a margin of error of 4 percent. Obama has been polling consistently in front of Romney in Michigan since the spring, despite Michigan being the Republican nominee's home state.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/polls-full-good-news-obama-192200772.html

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